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Halloween Candy Odds: Kids Have a 23% Chance of Getting Candy Corn, and a 4% Chance of Getting Raisins

By bondsy Oct 16, 2025 | 5:58 AM

scukrov / Depositphotos.com

If you’re hoping to pluck a few peanut butter cups from your kid’s Halloween haul, you’ve got pretty good odds of finding some in there.

The sports betting site Action Network crunched the numbers to find the odds of each type of candy landing in your kid’s Halloween bucket.

They took stats from Instacart, DoorDash, and other candy sellers.  They also looked at things like population density to figure out how many houses the average trick-or-treater will hit.

 

Here are 10 popular Halloween candies, and the odds of getting at least one of them on Halloween night.

1.  Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups, a 67% chance of getting some.

 

2.  Peanut M&Ms, 65%

 

3.  Regular M&Ms, 62%

 

4.  Kit Kats, 60%

 

5.  Snickers, 58%.  So, all of the top five are chocolate.

 

6.  Sour Patch Kids, 55%

 

7.  Hershey’s Milk Chocolate bars, 50%

 

8.  Milky Way, 45%

 

9.  Twix, 33%

 

10.  Gummy bears, 33%

 

 

They also looked at three more things your kid might NOT enjoy getting:  There’s a 2% chance they’ll get a toothbrush . . . a 4% chance they’ll get a box of raisins . . . and a 23% chance of finding some candy corn in their bag.

Kids in Mississippi are the most likely to end up with candy corn, a 46% chance.  Then Nebraska, 45%.  Hawaii is at the bottom of the list at just 11%.  Then Florida, 15%.

 

 

(The Topical Fruit)